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| RESEARCH ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TRADE AND INBOUND TRAVELERS IN CHINA FROM EIGHT COUNTRIES SUCH AS JAPAN, KOREA AND ASEAN |
| SUN Gen-nian, ZHOU Lu |
| School of Tourism and Environmental Science, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, China |
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Abstract There is a relationship between international tourism and international trade. The tourism development leads to the trade growth and the trade development promotes tourism development. Based on the preliminary studies, this paper proposed a three-stage model of the interaction between tourism and trade from the dynamic evolution. Those are the initial stage: the tourism development leads to international trade, the acceleration stage: the trade development promotes tourism, the terminal stage: the tourism growth suffered the preferences and capacity limitation. Based on this, the eight countries are taken as examples, such as Japanese, Korean and ASEAN. Using the relevant data from 1986 to 2009, The results shows that: (1) from the view of the index such as the statistics and tendency rate, inbound tourists and bilateral trade is increasing every year in China from Japan, Korea and ASEAN. (2) Based on the time series regression of 8 countries, the 3 groups and 24 push-pull equations were constructed in this paper. (3) In accordance with the X-Y scatter plot of time series data, the 1992 and 2002 are the dividing point. The paper divides it into three different stages for the interaction of the tourism and the trade between China with the 8 counties. In addition, the growth rate and the arc elasticity was calculated in the paper, for each stage between inbound tourist and the international trade. (4) We analyze the intensity change of the import and export trade caused by per million inbound tourist in recent 10 years. In the marginal elasticity, Japanese, Korean and ASEAN countries can be divided into four types. Such as, the import trade of Japan and Korea is greater than the export, and the export trade of Vietnam and Philippines is greater than the import. This work offers a scientific basis for pushing the development of tourism and trade and promoting its coordination between China and the other 8 countries.
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Received: 12 January 2012
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2012, Vol. 27 
